Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Catanzaro to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSampdoria to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Sampdoria vs Catanzaro preview and prediction
The match
Sampdoria host Catanzaro in the Serie B on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 16:15 (WAT) at Luigi Ferraris. Sampdoria are 15th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Catanzaro sit 20th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sampdoria's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Mantova 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Catanzaro's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Carrarese 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Catanzaro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Sampdoria and 1.3 for Catanzaro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Catanzaro to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sampdoria 1–1 Catanzaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sampdoria43%fair 2.30 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Catanzaro34%fair 2.94 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.48Sampdoria xG
1.27Catanzaro xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sampdoria 1.5 – 1.3 Catanzaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampdoria to win✓
43%
2.30
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sampdoria / FT Sampdoria✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.58
–
Form
Sampdoria – last 6
LLLDLW
13 Sep
@ Mantova
0–2
L
7 Sep
@ Palermo
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Cesena
1–1
D
17 Aug
@ Cremonese
0–2
L
9 Aug
@ Parma
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Catanzaro – last 6
WLLLDW
12 Sep
vs Carrarese
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Sudtirol
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Pisa
1–2
L
21 Aug
@ Vicenza Virtus
2–3
L
15 Aug
vs Sudtirol
2–2
D
5 Aug
vs Giugliano
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sampdoria and Catanzaro.
What is the prediction for Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?
On our numbers Sampdoria have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Catanzaro 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?
Our predicted score is Sampdoria 1–1 Catanzaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?
Sampdoria vs Catanzaro (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Luigi Ferraris.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
