Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalermo to win ✓68% · @1.50
Double chancePalermo or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.57
Palermo vs Padova preview and prediction
The match
Padova travel to Renzo Barbera in the Serie B on Saturday 19 September (14:00 WAT) to face Palermo. Palermo are 1st with 27 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Padova sit 10th on 15 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Palermo's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Avellino 1–1 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Padova's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Ascoli 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Palermo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Palermo and 0.6 for Padova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Palermo 68%, draw 19%, Padova 14%.
Safer route: Palermo or draw (86%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Palermo to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Palermo 1–0 Padova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palermo68%fair 1.48 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @4.00
Padova14%fair 7.28 · @5.50
2.50Expected goals
1.85Palermo xG
0.65Padova xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Palermo 1.9 – 0.6 Padova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✓
68%
1.48
1.50
Double chance
Palermo or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Palermo ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.57
–
Form
Palermo – last 6
DWWWWW
13 Sep
@ Avellino
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Sampdoria
3–1
W
3 Sep
vs Mantova
5–2
W
30 Aug
@ Arezzo
3–2
W
23 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs Lecce
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Padova – last 6
WLDWLD
12 Sep
vs Ascoli
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Cremonese
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Hellas Verona
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Pisa
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Udinese
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Monza
3–3
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palermo and Padova.
Our pick is Palermo to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Palermo vs Padova?
On our numbers Palermo have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Padova 14%.
How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Padova?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Padova?
Our predicted score is Palermo 1–0 Padova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Palermo vs Padova?
Palermo vs Padova (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Renzo Barbera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
