Ascoli host Avellino in the Serie B on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Cino e Lillo Del Duca. Ascoli are 3rd with 20 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Avellino sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ascoli's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Padova 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Avellino's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Palermo 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for Ascoli and 0.8 for Avellino. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ascoli 47%, draw 22%, Avellino 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Ascoli 1–1 Avellino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ascoli47%fair 2.11 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Avellino31%fair 3.26 · @3.40
2.00Expected goals
1.16Ascoli xG
0.84Avellino xG
54%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ascoli 1.2 – 0.8 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ascoli to win✓
47%
2.11
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ascoli / FT Ascoli✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.37
–
Form
Ascoli – last 6
LWDWLW
12 Sep
@ Padova
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Benevento
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Carrarese
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Hellas Verona
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Genoa
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs Potenza
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Avellino – last 6
DWWLLD
13 Sep
vs Palermo
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Modena
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Vicenza Virtus
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs Arezzo
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Monza
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Torino
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ascoli and Avellino.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Ascoli vs Avellino?
On our numbers Ascoli have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Avellino 31%.
How many goals will there be in Ascoli vs Avellino?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Avellino?
Our predicted score is Ascoli 1–1 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Ascoli vs Avellino?
Ascoli vs Avellino (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
