Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cremonese to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCremonese to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceCremonese or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.72
Cremonese vs Virtus Entella preview and prediction
The match
Cremonese host Virtus Entella in the Serie B on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Cremonese are 9th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Virtus Entella sit 16th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cremonese's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Cesena 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Virtus Entella's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Pisa 4–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cremonese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Cremonese and 1.0 for Virtus Entella. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Cremonese to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cremonese or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cremonese 2–0 Virtus Entella. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cremonese64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
Virtus Entella15%fair 6.86 · @4.50
3.13Expected goals
2.17Cremonese xG
0.96Virtus Entella xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cremonese 2.2 – 1.0 Virtus Entella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cremonese to win✗
64%
1.56
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Cremonese or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Cremonese ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cremonese / FT Cremonese✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.72
–
Form
Cremonese – last 6
DWWLLW
12 Sep
@ Cesena
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Padova
3–1
W
1 Sep
@ Parma
2–0
W
28 Aug
vs Modena
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Empoli
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Virtus Entella – last 6
WDLLDL
11 Sep
@ Pisa
4–1
W
6 Sep
vs Vicenza Virtus
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Cesena
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Sudtirol
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Hellas Verona
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Carrarese
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cremonese and Virtus Entella.
What is the prediction for Cremonese vs Virtus Entella?
Our pick is Cremonese or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cremonese vs Virtus Entella?
On our numbers Cremonese have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Virtus Entella 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cremonese vs Virtus Entella?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cremonese vs Virtus Entella?
Our predicted score is Cremonese 2–0 Virtus Entella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Cremonese vs Virtus Entella?
Cremonese vs Virtus Entella (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
