Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sampdoria to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSampdoria to win ✗63% · @1.90
Double chanceSampdoria or draw ✗87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.63
Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia preview and prediction
The match
Sampdoria host Juve Stabia in the Serie B on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Sampdoria are 15th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Juve Stabia sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sampdoria's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Cesena 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Juve Stabia's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Palermo 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 March 2026, finished Juve Stabia 1–1 Sampdoria.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Sampdoria and 0.5 for Juve Stabia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Value angle: Sampdoria to win at 1.90 – 63% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sampdoria or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sampdoria 1–0 Juve Stabia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sampdoria63%fair 1.59 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.30
Juve Stabia13%fair 7.80 · @4.20
1.89Expected goals
1.44Sampdoria xG
0.46Juve Stabia xG
45%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–016%
0–015%
1–110%
3–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sampdoria 1.4 – 0.5 Juve Stabia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia?
Our pick is Sampdoria or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia?
On our numbers Sampdoria have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Juve Stabia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia?
Our predicted score is Sampdoria 1–0 Juve Stabia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia?
Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
