Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAscoli to win ✗52% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.78
Ascoli vs Carrarese preview and prediction
The match
Carrarese travel to Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca in the Serie B on Saturday 29 August (20:00 WAT) to face Ascoli. Ascoli are 3rd with 20 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Carrarese sit 17th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ascoli's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Hellas Verona 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Carrarese's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Mantova 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Ascoli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Ascoli and 1.0 for Carrarese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ascoli 52%, draw 22%, Carrarese 26%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 53% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Ascoli 1–1 Carrarese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ascoli52%fair 1.93 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Carrarese26%fair 3.83 · @3.80
2.64Expected goals
1.60Ascoli xG
1.04Carrarese xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ascoli 1.6 – 1.0 Carrarese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ascoli to win✗
52%
1.93
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ascoli / FT Ascoli✗
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.78
–
Form
Ascoli – last 6
WLWLLW
23 Aug
@ Hellas Verona
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Genoa
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs Potenza
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Lazio
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Frosinone
0–1
L
7 Jun
vs Union Brescia
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Carrarese – last 6
LLWLLD
22 Aug
vs Mantova
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Torino
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Virtus Entella
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Napoli
0–2
L
8 May
@ Virtus Entella
1–2
L
1 May
vs Cesena
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ascoli and Carrarese.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Ascoli vs Carrarese?
On our numbers Ascoli have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Carrarese 26%.
How many goals will there be in Ascoli vs Carrarese?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Carrarese?
Our predicted score is Ascoli 1–1 Carrarese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ascoli vs Carrarese?
Ascoli vs Carrarese (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
