Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVicenza Virtus to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88
Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus preview and prediction
The match
Avellino host Vicenza Virtus in the Serie B on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi. Avellino are 5th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Vicenza Virtus sit 18th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Avellino's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Arezzo 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Vicenza Virtus's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Catanzaro 3–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Avellino and 1.6 for Vicenza Virtus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 52% and both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.20 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.33, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Avellino 1–1 Vicenza Virtus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avellino37%fair 2.68 · @2.52
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Vicenza Virtus38%fair 2.61 · @2.80
3.20Expected goals
1.59Avellino xG
1.61Vicenza Virtus xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Avellino 1.6 – 1.6 Vicenza Virtus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vicenza Virtus to win✗
38%
2.61
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vicenza Virtus / FT Vicenza Virtus✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.88
–
Form
Avellino – last 6
LLDLWW
22 Aug
vs Arezzo
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Monza
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Torino
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Lazio
3–6
L
26 Jul
@ Sambenedettese
5–0
W
22 Jul
vs Scafatese
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Vicenza Virtus – last 6
WDDDLD
21 Aug
vs Catanzaro
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs Catania
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Genoa
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Pergolettese
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Lecco
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Union Brescia
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avellino and Vicenza Virtus.
What is the prediction for Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus?
On our numbers Avellino have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vicenza Virtus 38%.
How many goals will there be in Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus?
Our predicted score is Avellino 1–1 Vicenza Virtus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus?
Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
