Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Padova to win @ 2.80 – our chance 44% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPadova to win ✗44% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.23
Padova vs Hellas Verona preview and prediction
The match
Hellas Verona travel to Stadio Euganeo in the Serie B on Saturday 29 August (20:00 WAT) to face Padova. Padova are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Hellas Verona sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Padova's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Pisa 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Hellas Verona's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Ascoli 1–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Hellas Verona arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Padova and 1.0 for Hellas Verona. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Padova to win at 2.80 – 44% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Padova 1–0 Hellas Verona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Padova44%fair 2.26 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Hellas Verona33%fair 3.00 · @2.52
2.14Expected goals
1.18Padova xG
0.96Hellas Verona xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Padova 1.2 – 1.0 Hellas Verona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Padova to win✗
44%
2.26
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Padova / FT Padova✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.23
–
Form
Padova – last 6
WLDWLL
23 Aug
@ Pisa
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Udinese
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Monza
3–3
D
1 Aug
@ Cittadella
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Ospitaletto
1–3
L
22 Jul
@ Sassuolo
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hellas Verona – last 6
LDWWWW
23 Aug
vs Ascoli
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs Virtus Entella
2–2
D
2 Aug
vs Lecco
3–0
W
25 Jul
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Virtus Verona
2–1
W
19 Jul
vs Rovereto
8–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Padova and Hellas Verona.
What is the prediction for Padova vs Hellas Verona?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Padova vs Hellas Verona?
On our numbers Padova have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hellas Verona 33%.
How many goals will there be in Padova vs Hellas Verona?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Padova vs Hellas Verona?
Our predicted score is Padova 1–0 Hellas Verona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Padova vs Hellas Verona?
Padova vs Hellas Verona (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Euganeo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
