Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Pisa to win @ 1.84 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPisa to win ✓63% · @1.84
Double chancePisa or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.69
Pisa vs Catanzaro preview and prediction
The match
Pisa host Catanzaro in the Serie B on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani. Pisa are 8th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Catanzaro sit 20th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Pisa's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Padova 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Catanzaro's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Vicenza Virtus 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Pisa and 0.8 for Catanzaro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pisa 63%, draw 23%, Catanzaro 14%.
Safer route: Pisa or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Pisa to win at 1.84 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pisa or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pisa 1–0 Catanzaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pisa63%fair 1.59 · @1.84
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.30
Catanzaro14%fair 7.09 · @4.50
2.68Expected goals
1.89Pisa xG
0.79Catanzaro xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pisa 1.9 – 0.8 Catanzaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pisa to win✓
63%
1.59
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Pisa or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Half-time result
Pisa ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pisa / FT Pisa✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.69
–
Form
Pisa – last 6
LDWLDW
23 Aug
vs Padova
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Empoli
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Bologna
4–1
W
26 Jul
vs PRO Vercelli
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Juventus U23
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Pavia
6–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Catanzaro – last 6
LDWWLL
21 Aug
@ Vicenza Virtus
2–3
L
15 Aug
vs Sudtirol
2–2
D
5 Aug
vs Giugliano
3–0
W
29 May
@ Monza
2–0
W
24 May
vs Monza
0–2
L
20 May
@ Palermo
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pisa and Catanzaro.
Our pick is Pisa or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pisa vs Catanzaro?
On our numbers Pisa have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Catanzaro 14%.
How many goals will there be in Pisa vs Catanzaro?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pisa vs Catanzaro?
Our predicted score is Pisa 1–0 Catanzaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pisa vs Catanzaro?
Pisa vs Catanzaro (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
