Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Sudtirol to win @ 3.60 – our chance 38% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +37%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSudtirol to win ✗38% · @3.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.93
Benevento vs Sudtirol preview and prediction
The match
Sudtirol travel to Stadio Ciro Vigorito in the Serie B on Sunday 30 August (20:00 WAT) to face Benevento. Benevento are 6th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Sudtirol sit 12th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Benevento's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Modena 1–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Sudtirol's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Virtus Entella 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Benevento and 1.1 for Sudtirol. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Value angle: Sudtirol to win at 3.60 – 38% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Benevento 1–1 Sudtirol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Benevento38%fair 2.66 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.15
Sudtirol38%fair 2.63 · @3.60
2.14Expected goals
1.07Benevento xG
1.08Sudtirol xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Benevento 1.1 – 1.1 Sudtirol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sudtirol to win✗
38%
2.63
3.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
20%
4.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.93
–
Form
Benevento – last 6
LLWDWW
22 Aug
vs Modena
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Fiorentina
1–4
L
9 Aug
vs Ravenna
5–3
W
1 Aug
@ Frosinone
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ Vis Pesaro
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Ostia Mare
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sudtirol – last 6
WDWDDD
22 Aug
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Catanzaro
2–2
D
7 Aug
vs Virtus Verona
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–0
D
22 May
vs Bari
0–0
D
8 May
vs Juve Stabia
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benevento and Sudtirol.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Benevento vs Sudtirol?
On our numbers Benevento have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sudtirol 38%.
How many goals will there be in Benevento vs Sudtirol?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Sudtirol?
Our predicted score is Benevento 1–1 Sudtirol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Benevento vs Sudtirol?
Benevento vs Sudtirol (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
