Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Arezzo to win @ 3.60 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalermo to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.56
Arezzo vs Palermo preview and prediction
The match
Arezzo host Palermo in the Serie B on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadio Città di Arezzo. Arezzo are 14th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Palermo sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arezzo's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Avellino 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Palermo's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Juve Stabia 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Palermo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Arezzo and 1.1 for Palermo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arezzo 35%, draw 24%, Palermo 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Arezzo to win at 3.60 – 35% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Arezzo 1–1 Palermo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arezzo35%fair 2.87 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.15
Palermo41%fair 2.46 · @2.10
2.14Expected goals
1.01Arezzo xG
1.13Palermo xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Arezzo 1.0 – 1.1 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✓
41%
2.46
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✓
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.56
–
Form
Arezzo – last 6
WLWDLD
22 Aug
@ Avellino
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Cagliari
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Union Brescia
2–0
W
30 Jul
@ Parma
1–1
D
29 Jul
vs Albinoleffe
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Folgore Caratese
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Palermo – last 6
WWLWDD
23 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs Lecce
2–0
W
11 Aug
@ Juventus
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ Melbourne City
2–0
W
29 Jul
vs Iraklis 1908
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arezzo and Palermo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Arezzo vs Palermo?
On our numbers Arezzo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Palermo 41%.
How many goals will there be in Arezzo vs Palermo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arezzo vs Palermo?
Our predicted score is Arezzo 1–1 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Arezzo vs Palermo?
Arezzo vs Palermo (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Città di Arezzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
