Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Udinese to win @ 1.81 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUdinese to win ✗62% · @1.81
Double chanceUdinese or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.79
Swansea vs Udinese preview and prediction
The match
Udinese travel to face Swansea in the Friendlies Clubs on Friday 24 July (12:00 WAT).
Form guide
Swansea's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to VfL Bochum 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Udinese's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Napoli 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Swansea and 2.1 for Udinese. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Swansea 16%, draw 22%, Udinese 62%.
Safer route: Udinese or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Udinese to win at 1.81 – 62% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Udinese or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Swansea 0–2 Udinese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Swansea16%fair 6.13 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.75
Udinese62%fair 1.62 · @1.81
3.03Expected goals
0.97Swansea xG
2.06Udinese xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Swansea 1.0 – 2.1 Udinese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Udinese to win✗
62%
1.62
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Udinese or draw✗
84%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.35
Half-time result
Udinese ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Udinese / FT Udinese✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.79
–
Form
Swansea – last 6
LDWWDD
21 Jul
vs VfL Bochum
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Holstein Kiel
2–2
D
2 May
vs Charlton
3–1
W
21 Apr
@ QPR
2–1
W
6 Apr
vs Middlesbrough
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Sheffield Utd
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Udinese – last 6
LLDDWW
24 May
@ Napoli
0–1
L
17 May
vs Cremonese
0–1
L
27 Apr
@ Lazio
3–3
D
6 Apr
vs Como
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Genoa
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs Fiorentina
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swansea and Udinese.
Our pick is Udinese or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Swansea vs Udinese?
On our numbers Swansea have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Udinese 62%.
How many goals will there be in Swansea vs Udinese?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Udinese?
Our predicted score is Swansea 0–2 Udinese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Swansea vs Udinese?
Swansea vs Udinese (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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