Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLyon to win ✓68% · @1.51
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 13.49
VfL Wolfsburg vs Lyon preview and prediction
The match
VfL Wolfsburg host Lyon in the Friendlies Clubs on Friday 24 July, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
VfL Wolfsburg's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Verl 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Lyon's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Slavia Praha 0–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.6 goals: 1.5 for VfL Wolfsburg and 3.0 for Lyon. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 79% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 Lyon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
VfL Wolfsburg17%fair 5.72 · @4.70
Draw14%fair 7.00 · @5.20
Lyon68%fair 1.47 · @1.51
4.55Expected goals
1.53VfL Wolfsburg xG
3.02Lyon xG
69%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–37%
1–27%
2–36%
2–26%
1–46%
1–15%
From our goals model: VfL Wolfsburg 1.5 – 3.0 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✓
68%
1.47
1.51
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.06
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.65
Half-time result
Lyon ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
13.49
–
Form
VfL Wolfsburg – last 6
WWDDLL
18 Jul
vs Verl
3–0
W
11 Jul
@ Schöningen
8–2
W
25 May
@ SC Paderborn 07
1–1
D
21 May
vs SC Paderborn 07
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ VfB Stuttgart
0–4
L
21 Feb
vs FC Augsburg
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lyon – last 6
LWWWLD
18 Jul
@ Slavia Praha
0–2
L
15 Jul
vs Servette FC
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs FC ST. Gallen
6–3
W
8 Jul
vs Mâcon
5–2
W
17 May
vs Lens
0–4
L
5 Apr
@ Angers
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VfL Wolfsburg and Lyon.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs Lyon?
On our numbers VfL Wolfsburg have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Lyon 68%.
How many goals will there be in VfL Wolfsburg vs Lyon?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VfL Wolfsburg vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is VfL Wolfsburg vs Lyon?
VfL Wolfsburg vs Lyon (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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