Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultManchester United to win ✓68% · @1.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.65
Rosenborg vs Manchester United preview and prediction
The match
Rosenborg host Manchester United in the Friendlies Clubs on Friday 24 July, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Lerkendal Stadion.
Form guide
Rosenborg's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Start 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Manchester United's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Wrexham 0–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Rosenborg and 2.0 for Manchester United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 62%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rosenborg 19%, draw 13%, Manchester United 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Under 3.5 goals at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Manchester United to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.58, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rosenborg 0–2 Manchester United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rosenborg19%fair 5.27 · @4.55
Draw13%fair 7.93 · @4.65
Manchester United68%fair 1.46 · @1.58
2.86Expected goals
0.85Rosenborg xG
2.01Manchester United xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Rosenborg 0.9 – 2.0 Manchester United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester United to win✓
68%
1.46
1.58 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.85 ▲
Half-time result
Manchester United ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester United / FT Manchester United✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.65
–
Form
Rosenborg – last 6
WWWDLW
18 Jul
@ Start
3–0
W
12 Jul
vs Kristiansund BK
3–0
W
5 Jul
vs Molde
2–1
W
29 May
vs BodoGlimt
2–2
D
25 May
@ KFUM Oslo
0–2
L
10 May
vs Lillestrom
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Manchester United – last 6
LWWWLD
18 Jul
vs Wrexham
0–1
L
24 May
@ Brighton
3–0
W
17 May
vs Nottingham Forest
3–2
W
27 Apr
vs Brentford
2–1
W
13 Apr
vs Leeds
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ Bournemouth
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rosenborg and Manchester United.
What is the prediction for Rosenborg vs Manchester United?
Our pick is Manchester United to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.
Who will win Rosenborg vs Manchester United?
On our numbers Rosenborg have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Manchester United 68%.
How many goals will there be in Rosenborg vs Manchester United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rosenborg vs Manchester United?
Our predicted score is Rosenborg 0–2 Manchester United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Rosenborg vs Manchester United?
Rosenborg vs Manchester United (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Lerkendal Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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