Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira preview and prediction
The match
Guimaraes B host Pacos Ferreira in the Liga 3 on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Academia Vitoria SC. Guimaraes B are 5th with 12 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Pacos Ferreira sit 8th on 11 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guimaraes B's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to AD Marco 09 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Pacos Ferreira's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with São João Ver 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Guimaraes B arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Guimaraes B and 1.1 for Pacos Ferreira. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guimaraes B 41%, draw 24%, Pacos Ferreira 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Guimaraes B 1–1 Pacos Ferreira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guimaraes B41%fair 2.41 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Pacos Ferreira34%fair 2.93 · @3.10
2.40Expected goals
1.28Guimaraes B xG
1.12Pacos Ferreira xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Guimaraes B 1.3 – 1.1 Pacos Ferreira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guimaraes B to win✗
41%
2.41
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guimaraes B / FT Guimaraes B✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.64
–
Form
Guimaraes B – last 6
LDDWLW
12 Sep
@ AD Marco 09
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Trofense
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ Fafe
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Leça
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Paredes
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ Chaves
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pacos Ferreira – last 6
DDDLLL
13 Sep
vs São João Ver
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Vianense
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Fafe
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Varzim
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Paredes
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ AD Marco 09
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guimaraes B and Pacos Ferreira.
What is the prediction for Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira?
On our numbers Guimaraes B have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pacos Ferreira 34%.
How many goals will there be in Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira?
Our predicted score is Guimaraes B 1–1 Pacos Ferreira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira?
Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Academia Vitoria SC.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
