Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Guimaraes B to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuimaraes B to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceGuimaraes B or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.91
Guimaraes B vs Trofense preview and prediction
The match
Trofense travel to Academia Vitoria SC in the Liga 3 on Saturday 5 September (17:00 WAT) to face Guimaraes B. Guimaraes B are 5th with 12 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Trofense sit 10th on 5 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Guimaraes B's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Fafe 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Trofense's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Varzim 1–5 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Guimaraes B 1–2 Trofense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Guimaraes B and 0.5 for Trofense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guimaraes B 62%, draw 26%, Trofense 12%.
Safer route: Guimaraes B or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Guimaraes B to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Guimaraes B or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Guimaraes B 1–0 Trofense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guimaraes B62%fair 1.60 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.20
Trofense12%fair 8.26 · @4.40
2.00Expected goals
1.50Guimaraes B xG
0.50Trofense xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Guimaraes B 1.5 – 0.5 Trofense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guimaraes B vs Trofense?
Our pick is Guimaraes B or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Guimaraes B vs Trofense?
On our numbers Guimaraes B have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Trofense 12%.
How many goals will there be in Guimaraes B vs Trofense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guimaraes B vs Trofense?
Our predicted score is Guimaraes B 1–0 Trofense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Guimaraes B vs Trofense?
Guimaraes B vs Trofense (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Academia Vitoria SC.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
