Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMafra to win ✓60% · @1.75
Double chanceMafra or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.11
Mafra vs SC Covilha preview and prediction
The match
Mafra host SC Covilha in the Liga 3 on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Mafra. Mafra are 5th with 12 points from 9 games (in the top half), while SC Covilha sit 9th on 7 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Mafra's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Atlético Malveira 2–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
SC Covilha's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Mortágua 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Mafra and 0.8 for SC Covilha. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mafra 60%, draw 22%, SC Covilha 18%.
Safer route: Mafra or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mafra or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Mafra 1–0 SC Covilha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mafra60%fair 1.66 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
SC Covilha18%fair 5.67 · @4.40
2.50Expected goals
1.71Mafra xG
0.79SC Covilha xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Mafra 1.7 – 0.8 SC Covilha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mafra to win✓
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Mafra or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mafra / FT Mafra✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.11
–
Form
Mafra – last 6
DLDWWL
29 Aug
@ Atlético Malveira
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Atlético CP
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Vitória de Sernache
5–0
W
25 Jul
vs Alverca
1–0
W
15 Jul
@ FC Fredericia
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SC Covilha – last 6
DLDWDW
30 Aug
vs Mortágua
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Atlético CP
0–3
L
16 Aug
@ Vitória de Sernache
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs União Santarém
2–0
W
1 May
vs Amora
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Caldas
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mafra and SC Covilha.
Our pick is Mafra or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mafra vs SC Covilha?
On our numbers Mafra have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SC Covilha 18%.
How many goals will there be in Mafra vs SC Covilha?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mafra vs SC Covilha?
Our predicted score is Mafra 1–0 SC Covilha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mafra vs SC Covilha?
Mafra vs SC Covilha (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mafra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
