Value bet: Vianense to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVianense to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.30
Vianense vs Pacos Ferreira preview and prediction
The match
Pacos Ferreira travel to face Vianense in the Liga 3 on Saturday 5 September (14:00 WAT). Vianense are 7th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Pacos Ferreira sit 8th on 11 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vianense's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Minas de Argozelo 8–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pacos Ferreira's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Fafe 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Vianense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Vianense and 1.0 for Pacos Ferreira. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Vianense to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Vianense 1–1 Pacos Ferreira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vianense44%fair 2.27 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
Pacos Ferreira32%fair 3.08 · @2.70
2.17Expected goals
1.20Vianense xG
0.97Pacos Ferreira xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Vianense 1.2 – 1.0 Pacos Ferreira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vianense to win✗
44%
2.27
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vianense / FT Vianense✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.30
–
Form
Vianense – last 6
WLWDLW
30 Aug
vs Minas de Argozelo
8–0
W
23 Aug
@ AD Marco 09
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Trofense
2–0
W
9 Aug
@ Fafe
0–0
D
29 Jul
@ AVS
0–3
L
31 May
vs Rebordosa
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pacos Ferreira – last 6
DLLLDL
29 Aug
vs Fafe
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Varzim
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Paredes
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ AD Marco 09
1–2
L
29 Jul
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs AVS
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vianense and Pacos Ferreira.
What is the prediction for Vianense vs Pacos Ferreira?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Vianense vs Pacos Ferreira?
On our numbers Vianense have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pacos Ferreira 32%.
How many goals will there be in Vianense vs Pacos Ferreira?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vianense vs Pacos Ferreira?
Our predicted score is Vianense 1–1 Pacos Ferreira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Vianense vs Pacos Ferreira?
Vianense vs Pacos Ferreira (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
