Value bet: Trofense to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrofense to win ✓39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.03
Trofense vs São João Ver preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees Trofense take on São João Ver on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Trofense are 10th with 5 points from 9 games (in the top half), while São João Ver sit 9th on 9 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Trofense's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Vianense 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
São João Ver's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Fafe 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Trofense and 1.1 for São João Ver. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trofense 39%, draw 27%, São João Ver 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Trofense to win at 2.88 – 39% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.79, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Trofense 1–1 São João Ver. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trofense39%fair 2.54 · @2.88
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.75
São João Ver34%fair 2.96 · @2.50
2.25Expected goals
1.18Trofense xG
1.07São João Ver xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Trofense 1.2 – 1.1 São João Ver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trofense to win✓
39%
2.54
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trofense / FT Trofense✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.03
–
Form
Trofense – last 6
LLDDLW
15 Aug
@ Vianense
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Varzim
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ AVS
1–1
D
1 May
vs Amarante
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs CF Os Belenenses
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Guimaraes B
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
São João Ver – last 6
LDDLWW
16 Aug
vs Fafe
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Leça
1–1
D
29 Jul
@ Tondela
1–1
D
3 Jul
@ SC Braga
0–1
L
28 Apr
@ Fafe
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Paredes
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trofense and São João Ver.
What is the prediction for Trofense vs São João Ver?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Trofense vs São João Ver?
On our numbers Trofense have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and São João Ver 34%.
How many goals will there be in Trofense vs São João Ver?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trofense vs São João Ver?
Our predicted score is Trofense 1–1 São João Ver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Trofense vs São João Ver?
Trofense vs São João Ver (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
