CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
CF Os Belenenses to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceCF Os Belenenses or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.65
CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém preview and prediction
The match
CF Os Belenenses host União Santarém in the Liga 3 on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). CF Os Belenenses are 1st with 21 points from 9 games (top of the table), while União Santarém sit 4th on 13 points (in the top four).
Form guide
CF Os Belenenses's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Louletano 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
União Santarém's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Oliveirense 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
CF Os Belenenses arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished CF Os Belenenses 1–1 União Santarém.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for CF Os Belenenses and 0.6 for União Santarém. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: CF Os Belenenses or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CF Os Belenenses to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CF Os Belenenses 1–0 União Santarém. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CF Os Belenenses64%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.30
União Santarém12%fair 8.23 · @4.75
2.25Expected goals
1.68CF Os Belenenses xG
0.57União Santarém xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: CF Os Belenenses 1.7 – 0.6 União Santarém expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?
Our pick is CF Os Belenenses to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?
On our numbers CF Os Belenenses have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and União Santarém 12%.
How many goals will there be in CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?
Our predicted score is CF Os Belenenses 1–0 União Santarém, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?
CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.