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Liga 3 · Portugal

CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

CF Os Belenenses to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceCF Os Belenenses or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.65

CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém preview and prediction

The match

CF Os Belenenses host União Santarém in the Liga 3 on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). CF Os Belenenses are 1st with 21 points from 9 games (top of the table), while União Santarém sit 4th on 13 points (in the top four).

Form guide

CF Os Belenenses's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Louletano 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.

União Santarém's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Oliveirense 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

CF Os Belenenses arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished CF Os Belenenses 1–1 União Santarém.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for CF Os Belenenses and 0.6 for União Santarém. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was CF Os Belenenses to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CF Os Belenenses 1–0 União Santarém. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

CF Os Belenenses64%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.30
União Santarém12%fair 8.23 · @4.75
2.25Expected goals
1.68CF Os Belenenses xG
0.57União Santarém xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: CF Os Belenenses 1.7 – 0.6 União Santarém expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓64%1.551.67 ▲
Double chanceCF Os Belenenses or draw ✓88%1.141.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT CF Os Belenenses / FT CF Os Belenenses ✓40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.65–

Form

CF Os Belenenses – last 6

WWDLLD
15 Aug@ Louletano3–1W
8 Augvs Caldas1–0W
31 Julvs Estoril1–1D
24 Jul@ Benfica1–5L
17 Jul@ Alverca1–2L
30 Mayvs Farense0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

União Santarém – last 6

DLDLDD
14 Augvs Oliveirense1–1D
8 Aug@ SC Covilha0–2L
31 Julvs Academica0–0D
10 May@ Amarante0–1L
2 May@ CF Os Belenenses1–1D
26 Aprvs Academica1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026CF Os Belenenses v União Santarém1–1
CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?

Our pick is CF Os Belenenses to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?

On our numbers CF Os Belenenses have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and União Santarém 12%.

How many goals will there be in CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?

Our predicted score is CF Os Belenenses 1–0 União Santarém, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?

CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.