Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.30
Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim preview and prediction
The match
Varzim travel to face Pacos Ferreira in the Liga 3 on Saturday 22 August (20:30 WAT). Pacos Ferreira are 8th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Varzim sit 6th on 12 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pacos Ferreira's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Paredes 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Varzim's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat AD Marco 09 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Varzim arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Pacos Ferreira and 1.0 for Varzim. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Pacos Ferreira 0–1 Varzim. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pacos Ferreira37%fair 2.73 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.90
Varzim38%fair 2.64 · @2.62
2.00Expected goals
0.99Pacos Ferreira xG
1.01Varzim xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Pacos Ferreira 1.0 – 1.0 Varzim expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varzim to win✓
38%
2.64
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.30
–
Form
Pacos Ferreira – last 6
LLDLWL
15 Aug
vs Paredes
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ AD Marco 09
1–2
L
29 Jul
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs AVS
0–2
L
17 May
vs Penafiel
2–1
W
3 May
vs Feirense
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Varzim – last 6
WWWLLL
16 Aug
vs AD Marco 09
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Trofense
1–0
W
29 Jul
@ Tirsense
1–0
W
15 Jul
@ Tondela
0–1
L
11 Apr
vs Mafra
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Mafra
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pacos Ferreira and Varzim.
What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim?
On our numbers Pacos Ferreira have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Varzim 38%.
How many goals will there be in Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim?
Our predicted score is Pacos Ferreira 0–1 Varzim, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim?
Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
