Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees Lusitano Évora 1911 take on Mafra on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Lusitano Évora 1911 are 10th with 7 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Mafra sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Lusitano Évora 1911's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Caldas 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Mafra's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Atlético CP 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mafra arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Lusitano Évora 1911 and 1.0 for Mafra. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.91, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lusitano Évora 1911 1–1 Mafra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lusitano Évora 191139%fair 2.60 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.75
Mafra35%fair 2.82 · @2.62
2.00Expected goals
1.03Lusitano Évora 1911 xG
0.97Mafra xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Lusitano Évora 1911 1.0 – 1.0 Mafra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusitano Évora 1911 to win✓
39%
2.60
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.18
–
Form
Lusitano Évora 1911 – last 6
DLDDWL
16 Aug
@ Caldas
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Atlético CP
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Benfica B
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Caldas
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Amora
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Atlético CP
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mafra – last 6
DWWLWW
15 Aug
@ Atlético CP
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Vitória de Sernache
5–0
W
25 Jul
vs Alverca
1–0
W
15 Jul
@ FC Fredericia
2–3
L
11 Jul
@ Esbjerg
2–0
W
3 May
@ Guimaraes B
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusitano Évora 1911 and Mafra.
What is the prediction for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra?
On our numbers Lusitano Évora 1911 have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mafra 35%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra?
Our predicted score is Lusitano Évora 1911 1–1 Mafra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra?
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
