Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.65 – our chance 69% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrofense to win ✗38% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.83
Vianense vs Trofense preview and prediction
The match
Vianense host Trofense in the Liga 3 on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT). Vianense are 7th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Trofense sit 10th on 5 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Vianense's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Fafe 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Trofense's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Varzim 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Vianense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.7 for Vianense and 0.7 for Trofense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.65 – 69% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vianense 0–0 Trofense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vianense37%fair 2.67 · @2.33
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Trofense38%fair 2.60 · @2.85
1.46Expected goals
0.72Vianense xG
0.74Trofense xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–023%
0–117%
1–017%
1–112%
0–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Vianense 0.7 – 0.7 Trofense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trofense to win✗
38%
2.60
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.83
–
Form
Vianense – last 6
DLWLWW
9 Aug
@ Fafe
0–0
D
29 Jul
@ AVS
0–3
L
31 May
vs Rebordosa
2–0
W
17 May
vs Leça
3–4
L
22 Mar
@ Ribeira Brava
5–1
W
15 Mar
vs Celoricense
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Trofense – last 6
LDDLWL
9 Aug
vs Varzim
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ AVS
1–1
D
1 May
vs Amarante
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs CF Os Belenenses
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Guimaraes B
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Amarante
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vianense and Trofense.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vianense vs Trofense?
On our numbers Vianense have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Trofense 38%.
How many goals will there be in Vianense vs Trofense?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vianense vs Trofense?
Our predicted score is Vianense 0–0 Trofense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Vianense vs Trofense?
Vianense vs Trofense (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
