Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPacos Ferreira to win ✗61% · @1.73
Double chancePacos Ferreira or draw ✗85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.54
Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees Pacos Ferreira take on Paredes on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT). Pacos Ferreira are 8th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Paredes sit 1st on 22 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Pacos Ferreira's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to AD Marco 09 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Paredes's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Guimaraes B 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Paredes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Pacos Ferreira and 0.9 for Paredes. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 51% and both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: Pacos Ferreira or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Pacos Ferreira 2–0 Paredes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pacos Ferreira61%fair 1.63 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.35
Paredes15%fair 6.55 · @4.40
2.99Expected goals
2.05Pacos Ferreira xG
0.95Paredes xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Pacos Ferreira 2.0 – 0.9 Paredes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pacos Ferreira to win✗
61%
1.63
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Pacos Ferreira or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.25
Half-time result
Pacos Ferreira ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pacos Ferreira / FT Pacos Ferreira✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.54
–
Form
Pacos Ferreira – last 6
LDLWLL
9 Aug
@ AD Marco 09
1–2
L
29 Jul
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs AVS
0–2
L
17 May
vs Penafiel
2–1
W
3 May
vs Feirense
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paredes – last 6
WWWLLL
7 Aug
vs Guimaraes B
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
4–2
W
22 Jul
@ AVS
4–2
W
18 Jul
@ Santa Clara
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Fafe
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ São João Ver
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pacos Ferreira and Paredes.
What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes?
On our numbers Pacos Ferreira have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paredes 15%.
How many goals will there be in Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes?
Our predicted score is Pacos Ferreira 2–0 Paredes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes?
Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
