Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: CF Os Belenenses to win @ 2.33 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓50% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.72
Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses preview and prediction
The match
CF Os Belenenses travel to face Louletano in the Liga 3 on Saturday 15 August (17:00 WAT). Louletano are 6th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while CF Os Belenenses sit 1st on 21 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Louletano's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Oliveirense 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
CF Os Belenenses's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Caldas 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Louletano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.5 for Louletano and 0.9 for CF Os Belenenses. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Louletano 28%, draw 22%, CF Os Belenenses 50%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.80.
Value angle: CF Os Belenenses to win at 2.33 – 50% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Louletano 0–0 CF Os Belenenses. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Louletano28%fair 3.53 · @2.85
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
CF Os Belenenses50%fair 2.01 · @2.33
1.46Expected goals
0.55Louletano xG
0.91CF Os Belenenses xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–023%
0–121%
1–013%
1–112%
0–210%
1–25%
From our goals model: Louletano 0.5 – 0.9 CF Os Belenenses expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Os Belenenses to win✓
50%
2.01
2.33 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
21%
4.72
–
Form
Louletano – last 6
DDDWWW
8 Aug
@ Oliveirense
0–0
D
31 May
@ Vitória de Sernache
1–1
D
17 May
vs Atlético Malveira
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Comércio Indústria
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs FC Serpa
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Oriental Lisboa
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
CF Os Belenenses – last 6
WDLLDD
8 Aug
vs Caldas
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Estoril
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ Benfica
1–5
L
17 Jul
@ Alverca
1–2
L
30 May
vs Farense
0–0
D
2 May
vs União Santarém
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Louletano and CF Os Belenenses.
What is the prediction for Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses?
On our numbers Louletano have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CF Os Belenenses 50%.
How many goals will there be in Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses?
Our predicted score is Louletano 0–0 CF Os Belenenses, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses?
Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
