Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.65 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFafe to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.13
São João Ver vs Fafe preview and prediction
The match
Fafe travel to face São João Ver in the Liga 3 on Sunday 16 August (17:00 WAT). São João Ver are 9th with 9 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Fafe sit 4th on 13 points (in the top four).
Form guide
São João Ver's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Leça 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Fafe's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Vianense 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 April 2026, finished Fafe 1–2 São João Ver. Across their last 2 meetings São João Ver have won 2, Fafe 0, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.8 for São João Ver and 0.9 for Fafe. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: São João Ver 35%, draw 24%, Fafe 41%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.65 – 66% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: São João Ver 0–0 Fafe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
São João Ver35%fair 2.82 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Fafe41%fair 2.47 · @2.25
1.71Expected goals
0.81São João Ver xG
0.90Fafe xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
0–116%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: São João Ver 0.8 – 0.9 Fafe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win São João Ver vs Fafe?
On our numbers São João Ver have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fafe 41%.
How many goals will there be in São João Ver vs Fafe?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São João Ver vs Fafe?
Our predicted score is São João Ver 0–0 Fafe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is São João Ver vs Fafe?
São João Ver vs Fafe (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
