Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911 prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.65 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaldas to win ✗43% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.91
Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911 preview and prediction
The match
Caldas host Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Liga 3 on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Campo da Mata. Caldas are 7th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Lusitano Évora 1911 sit 10th on 7 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Caldas's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to CF Os Belenenses 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Lusitano Évora 1911's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Atlético CP 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Caldas 1–1 Lusitano Évora 1911.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Caldas and 0.8 for Lusitano Évora 1911. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.65 – 66% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Caldas 0–0 Lusitano Évora 1911. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caldas43%fair 2.31 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Lusitano Évora 191134%fair 2.91 · @2.88
1.71Expected goals
0.93Caldas xG
0.77Lusitano Évora 1911 xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Caldas 0.9 – 0.8 Lusitano Évora 1911 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
On our numbers Caldas have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lusitano Évora 1911 34%.
How many goals will there be in Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
Our predicted score is Caldas 0–0 Lusitano Évora 1911, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911 (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo da Mata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
