Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Poole Town to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChertsey Town to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Chertsey Town vs Poole Town preview and prediction
The match
Poole Town travel to face Chertsey Town in the Non League Premier Southern South on Tuesday 29 September (19:45 WAT). Chertsey Town are 7th with 26 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Poole Town sit 2nd on 32 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Chertsey Town's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Welling United 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Poole Town's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Basingstoke Town 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Poole Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Chertsey Town and 1.5 for Poole Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chertsey Town 41%, draw 23%, Poole Town 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Poole Town to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Chertsey Town 1–1 Poole Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chertsey Town41%fair 2.41 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
Poole Town36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
3.20Expected goals
1.67Chertsey Town xG
1.53Poole Town xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Chertsey Town 1.7 – 1.5 Poole Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chertsey Town to win✗
41%
2.41
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chertsey Town / FT Chertsey Town✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.51
–
Form
Chertsey Town – last 6
DDWWDL
26 Sep
@ Welling United
2–2
D
22 Sep
@ Chichester City
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Greenwich Borough
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Malvern Town
5–0
W
5 Sep
vs Carshalton Athletic
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Hanworth Villa
1–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Poole Town – last 6
WWLLWW
26 Sep
vs Basingstoke Town
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Havant & Wville
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Bishop's Cleeve
1–2
L
31 Aug
@ Plymouth Parkway
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Yate Town
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Berkhamsted
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chertsey Town and Poole Town.
What is the prediction for Chertsey Town vs Poole Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Chertsey Town vs Poole Town?
On our numbers Chertsey Town have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Poole Town 36%.
How many goals will there be in Chertsey Town vs Poole Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chertsey Town vs Poole Town?
Our predicted score is Chertsey Town 1–1 Poole Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Chertsey Town vs Poole Town?
Chertsey Town vs Poole Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
