Non League Premier Southern South · EnglandUxbridge vs Basingstoke Town prediction & analysis
Uxbridge to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Uxbridge 2.1 – 1.1 Basingstoke Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Uxbridge hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 21% for Basingstoke Town.
Uxbridge have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.7 per game. Basingstoke Town have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded. Uxbridge come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.1 for Uxbridge, 1.1 for Basingstoke Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%).
Our pick is Uxbridge to win at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is better than our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Uxbridge to win ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.75 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.65 | – |
| Half-time result | Uxbridge ahead at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Uxbridge / FT Uxbridge ✓ | 37% | 2.67 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 10% | 10.13 | – |
Form
Uxbridge – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Lewes | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Farnborough | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Farnborough | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | @ Berkhamsted | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Chichester City | 5–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Haywards Heath Town | 3–0 | W |
Basingstoke Town – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Poole Town | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Gosport Borough | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Gloucester City | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs AFC Stoneham | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Bracknell Town | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Taunton Town | 3–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uxbridge and Basingstoke Town.
Non League Premier Southern South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Uxbridge | 15 | +17 | 33 |
| 2 |  Poole Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Hanworth Villa | 16 | +13 | 31 |
| 4 |  Plymouth Parkway | 15 | +13 | 29 |
| 5 |  Bath City | 15 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 |  Chichester City | 16 | +3 | 28 |
| 7 |  Chertsey Town | 15 | +9 | 26 |
| 8 |  Gosport Borough | 16 | +3 | 24 |
| 9 |  Wimborne Town | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 10 |  Frome Town | 15 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 |  Taunton Town | 13 | +6 | 19 |
| 12 |  Berkhamsted | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Hanwell Town | 15 | -2 | 17 |
| 14 |  Sholing | 13 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 |  Basingstoke Town | 16 | -7 | 16 |
| 16 |  Evesham United | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Yate Town | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 18 |  Chippenham Town | 15 | -12 | 15 |
| 19 |  Bracknell Town | 17 | -18 | 15 |
| 20 |  Malvern Town | 15 | -16 | 14 |
| 21 |  Gloucester City | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 22 |  Havant & Wville | 16 | -13 | 12 |
More Non League Premier Southern South predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town?
Our pick is Uxbridge to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town?
On our numbers Uxbridge have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Basingstoke Town 21%.
How many goals will there be in Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town?
Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.