Non League Premier Southern South · EnglandGloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway prediction & analysis
Gloucester City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gloucester City 2.2 – 1.3 Plymouth Parkway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gloucester City hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 22% for Plymouth Parkway.
Gloucester City have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Plymouth Parkway have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. Plymouth Parkway come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (2.2 for Gloucester City, 1.3 for Plymouth Parkway). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (7%).
Our pick is Gloucester City to win at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gloucester City to win ✗ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Half-time result | Gloucester City ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gloucester City / FT Gloucester City ✗ | 38% | 2.66 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.51 | – |
Form
Gloucester City – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Stafford Rangers | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Malvern Town | 2–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ AFC Totton | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Basingstoke Town | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Mangotsfield United | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Evesham United | 1–2 | L |
Plymouth Parkway – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Bath City | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Frome Town | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Frome Town | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Sholing | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Gosport Borough | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs Poole Town | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gloucester City and Plymouth Parkway.
Non League Premier Southern South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Uxbridge | 15 | +17 | 33 |
| 2 |  Poole Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Hanworth Villa | 16 | +13 | 31 |
| 4 |  Plymouth Parkway | 15 | +13 | 29 |
| 5 |  Bath City | 15 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 |  Chichester City | 16 | +3 | 28 |
| 7 |  Chertsey Town | 15 | +9 | 26 |
| 8 |  Gosport Borough | 16 | +3 | 24 |
| 9 |  Wimborne Town | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 10 |  Frome Town | 15 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 |  Taunton Town | 13 | +6 | 19 |
| 12 |  Berkhamsted | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Hanwell Town | 15 | -2 | 17 |
| 14 |  Sholing | 13 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 |  Basingstoke Town | 16 | -7 | 16 |
| 16 |  Evesham United | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Yate Town | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 18 |  Chippenham Town | 15 | -12 | 15 |
| 19 |  Bracknell Town | 17 | -18 | 15 |
| 20 |  Malvern Town | 15 | -16 | 14 |
| 21 |  Gloucester City | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 22 |  Havant & Wville | 16 | -13 | 12 |
More Non League Premier Southern South predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
Our pick is Gloucester City to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
On our numbers Gloucester City have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Plymouth Parkway 22%.
How many goals will there be in Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.