Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBath City to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceBath City or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.20
Bath City vs Malvern Town preview and prediction
The match
Malvern Town travel to Twerton Park in the Non League Premier Southern South on Tuesday 29 September (19:45 WAT) to face Bath City. Bath City are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Malvern Town sit 21st on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bath City's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Plymouth Parkway 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Malvern Town's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Mickleover Sports 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Bath City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Bath City and 1.1 for Malvern Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bath City 62%, draw 22%, Malvern Town 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Bath City 2–1 Malvern Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bath City62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.90
Malvern Town16%fair 6.11 · @5.80
3.31Expected goals
2.22Bath City xG
1.09Malvern Town xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bath City 2.2 – 1.1 Malvern Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bath City to win✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Double chance
Bath City or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Bath City ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bath City / FT Bath City✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.20
–
Form
Bath City – last 6
WWWLLL
26 Sep
@ Plymouth Parkway
3–0
W
22 Sep
@ Taunton Town
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Chippenham Town
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Weymouth
0–2
L
31 Aug
@ Frome Town
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Uxbridge
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Malvern Town – last 6
DWLDLL
26 Sep
@ Mickleover Sports
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Gloucester City
5–2
W
12 Sep
@ Chertsey Town
0–5
L
5 Sep
vs Redditch United
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Chippenham Town
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Gosport Borough
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bath City and Malvern Town.
What is the prediction for Bath City vs Malvern Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Bath City vs Malvern Town?
On our numbers Bath City have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Malvern Town 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bath City vs Malvern Town?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bath City vs Malvern Town?
Our predicted score is Bath City 2–1 Malvern Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Bath City vs Malvern Town?
Bath City vs Malvern Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Twerton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
