AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Gainsborough Trinity to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGainsborough Trinity to win ✓66% · @1.70
Double chanceGainsborough Trinity or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.87
AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Northern sees AFC Emley take on Gainsborough Trinity on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). AFC Emley are 12th with 23 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Gainsborough Trinity sit 5th on 29 points (in the top half).
Form guide
AFC Emley's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Rylands 1–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Gainsborough Trinity's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Whitby Town 6–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Gainsborough Trinity arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for AFC Emley and 2.1 for Gainsborough Trinity. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Emley 13%, draw 21%, Gainsborough Trinity 66%.
Safer route: Gainsborough Trinity or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gainsborough Trinity to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AFC Emley 0–2 Gainsborough Trinity. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Emley13%fair 7.53 · @3.80
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.75
Gainsborough Trinity66%fair 1.52 · @1.70
3.02Expected goals
0.87AFC Emley xG
2.15Gainsborough Trinity xG
47%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: AFC Emley 0.9 – 2.1 Gainsborough Trinity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gainsborough Trinity to win✓
66%
1.52
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Gainsborough Trinity or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Gainsborough Trinity ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gainsborough Trinity / FT Gainsborough Trinity✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.87
–
Form
AFC Emley – last 6
LLLLLL
3 Oct
@ Rylands
1–4
L
29 Sep
vs Workington
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ Bootle
0–5
L
19 Sep
vs Spennymoor Town
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Bury
0–4
L
31 Aug
vs Guiseley AFC
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gainsborough Trinity – last 6
WLDWDL
6 Oct
@ Whitby Town
6–2
W
3 Oct
vs Anstey Nomads
2–3
L
26 Sep
@ Bury
3–3
D
22 Sep
vs Leamington
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Leamington
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Avro
0–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Emley and Gainsborough Trinity.
What is the prediction for AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Our pick is Gainsborough Trinity to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity?
On our numbers AFC Emley have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gainsborough Trinity 66%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Our predicted score is AFC Emley 0–2 Gainsborough Trinity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity?
AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
