Non League Premier Northern · EnglandStockton Town vs United of Manchester prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Stockton Town 1.7 – 1.3 United of Manchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Stockton Town hold the edge on home soil with a 49% chance of winning, against 32% for United of Manchester.
Stockton Town have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. United of Manchester have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. United of Manchester come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.7 for Stockton Town, 1.3 for United of Manchester). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Stockton Town have won 0, United of Manchester have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.74.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Stockton Town to win ✗ | 49% | 2.05 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Stockton Town / FT Stockton Town ✗ | 28% | 3.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.73 | – |
Form
Stockton Town – last 6
| 6 Oct | vs Bury | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Hyde United | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Rylands | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Bamber Bridge | 5–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Rylands | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Guiseley AFC | 2–2 | D |
United of Manchester – last 6
| 6 Oct | @ Alfreton Town | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Worksop Town | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Hyde United | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Ossett United | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Warrington Town | 4–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Garforth Town | 5–1 | W |
Head to head
| 21 Apr 2026 | United of Manchester v Stockton Town | 1–1 |
Non League Premier Northern table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 16 | +25 | 36 |
| 2 |  Redcar Athletic | 17 | +18 | 35 |
| 3 |  Curzon Ashton | 17 | +13 | 34 |
| 4 |  Guiseley AFC | 15 | +18 | 32 |
| 5 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 17 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 |  Warrington Town | 17 | +7 | 29 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 16 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Avro | 17 | +6 | 29 |
| 9 |  Workington | 17 | +1 | 27 |
| 10 |  Bury | 15 | +13 | 26 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 17 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 |  AFC Emley | 18 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 |  Quorn | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Lancaster City | 18 | -11 | 21 |
| 15 |  Whitby Town | 17 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Hyde United | 17 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston Town | 17 | -24 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 16 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 17 | -20 | 11 |
More Non League Premier Northern predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Stockton Town vs United of Manchester?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Stockton Town vs United of Manchester?
On our numbers Stockton Town have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 19% and United of Manchester 32%.
How many goals will there be in Stockton Town vs United of Manchester?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Stockton Town vs United of Manchester?
Stockton Town vs United of Manchester (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.