Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City prediction & analysis
89%
Footrivo pick
Redcar Athletic or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Redcar Athletic to win @ 1.67 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRedcar Athletic to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceRedcar Athletic or draw ✓89% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.81
Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City preview and prediction
The match
Redcar Athletic host Lancaster City in the Non League Premier Northern on Tuesday 18 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Redcar Athletic are 1st with 38 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Lancaster City sit 14th on 21 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Redcar Athletic's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Quorn 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lancaster City's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Hyde United 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Redcar Athletic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Redcar Athletic and 0.5 for Lancaster City. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Redcar Athletic 65%, draw 24%, Lancaster City 11%.
Safer route: Redcar Athletic or draw (89%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Redcar Athletic to win at 1.67 – 65% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Redcar Athletic or draw – a 89% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Redcar Athletic 1–0 Lancaster City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Redcar Athletic65%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.50
Lancaster City11%fair 8.72 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.54Redcar Athletic xG
0.46Lancaster City xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Redcar Athletic 1.5 – 0.5 Lancaster City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Redcar Athletic to win✓
65%
1.55
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Redcar Athletic or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Redcar Athletic / FT Redcar Athletic✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.81
–
Form
Redcar Athletic – last 6
DWDWLW
15 Aug
@ Quorn
1–1
D
11 Aug
@ Workington
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Bury
0–0
D
21 Jul
vs Dunston UTS
1–0
W
14 Jul
vs Hartlepool
2–4
L
6 Apr
vs Bridlington Town
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lancaster City – last 6
LWLDDW
15 Aug
vs Hyde United
1–2
L
11 Aug
vs Rylands
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ashton United
1–4
L
21 Jul
vs Preston North End U21
2–2
D
6 Apr
@ Bamber Bridge
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Morpeth Town
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Redcar Athletic and Lancaster City.
What is the prediction for Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City?
Our pick is Redcar Athletic or draw with a 89% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City?
On our numbers Redcar Athletic have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lancaster City 11%.
How many goals will there be in Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City?
Our predicted score is Redcar Athletic 1–0 Lancaster City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City?
Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
