Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Cleethorpes Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Cleethorpes Town to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCleethorpes Town to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceCleethorpes Town or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.78
Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Northern sees Cleethorpes Town take on Alfreton Town on Tuesday 18 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT). Cleethorpes Town are 3rd with 36 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Alfreton Town sit 11th on 23 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cleethorpes Town's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Warrington Town 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alfreton Town's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Avro 3–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cleethorpes Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Cleethorpes Town and 0.8 for Alfreton Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cleethorpes Town 63%, draw 20%, Alfreton Town 17%.
Safer route: Cleethorpes Town or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Cleethorpes Town to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cleethorpes Town or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cleethorpes Town 1–0 Alfreton Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cleethorpes Town63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.20
Alfreton Town17%fair 5.87 · @3.30
2.67Expected goals
1.86Cleethorpes Town xG
0.81Alfreton Town xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cleethorpes Town 1.9 – 0.8 Alfreton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cleethorpes Town to win✓
63%
1.58
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Cleethorpes Town or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Cleethorpes Town ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cleethorpes Town / FT Cleethorpes Town✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.78
–
Form
Cleethorpes Town – last 6
DWWLDD
15 Aug
@ Warrington Town
1–1
D
11 Aug
@ Quorn
5–0
W
8 Aug
vs Bamber Bridge
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Harrogate Town
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Grimsby
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Workington
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Alfreton Town – last 6
WWLLLL
15 Aug
vs Avro
3–0
W
11 Aug
vs Gainsborough Trinity
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Curzon Ashton
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs Mansfield Town
0–4
L
21 Jul
vs Rotherham
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs Derby
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cleethorpes Town and Alfreton Town.
What is the prediction for Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town?
Our pick is Cleethorpes Town or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town?
On our numbers Cleethorpes Town have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Alfreton Town 17%.
How many goals will there be in Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town?
Our predicted score is Cleethorpes Town 1–0 Alfreton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town?
Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
