Value bet: Warrington Town to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWarrington Town to win ✓39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.85
Ilkeston Town vs Warrington Town preview and prediction
The match
Ilkeston Town host Warrington Town in the Non League Premier Northern on Tuesday 18 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Ilkeston Town are 20th with 13 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Warrington Town sit 9th on 29 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ilkeston Town's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Whitby Town 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Warrington Town's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Cleethorpes Town 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Ilkeston Town and 1.3 for Warrington Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ilkeston Town 38%, draw 23%, Warrington Town 39%.
Value angle: Warrington Town to win at 3.10 – 39% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: Ilkeston Town 1–1 Warrington Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ilkeston Town38%fair 2.61 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Warrington Town39%fair 2.56 · @3.10
2.53Expected goals
1.26Ilkeston Town xG
1.27Warrington Town xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ilkeston Town 1.3 – 1.3 Warrington Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Warrington Town to win✓
39%
2.56
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Warrington Town / FT Warrington Town✓
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.85
–
Form
Ilkeston Town – last 6
LWWWLL
15 Aug
@ Whitby Town
0–2
L
11 Aug
@ AFC Emley
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Stockton Town
1–0
W
28 Jul
vs Basford United
4–1
W
11 Jul
@ Worksop Town
1–3
L
6 Apr
@ Rushall Olympic
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Warrington Town – last 6
DWWLLL
15 Aug
vs Cleethorpes Town
1–1
D
11 Aug
vs Hyde United
3–0
W
8 Aug
@ Guiseley AFC
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Buxton
1–2
L
28 Jul
@ Marine
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Chester
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ilkeston Town and Warrington Town.
What is the prediction for Ilkeston Town vs Warrington Town?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Warrington Town?
On our numbers Ilkeston Town have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Warrington Town 39%.
How many goals will there be in Ilkeston Town vs Warrington Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilkeston Town vs Warrington Town?
Our predicted score is Ilkeston Town 1–1 Warrington Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ilkeston Town vs Warrington Town?
Ilkeston Town vs Warrington Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
