Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeek Town to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.18
Leek Town vs AFC Emley preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Northern sees Leek Town take on AFC Emley on Tuesday 18 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT). Leek Town are 19th with 17 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while AFC Emley sit 12th on 23 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Leek Town's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Stockton Town 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
AFC Emley's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Curzon Ashton 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Leek Town and 0.8 for AFC Emley. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 44%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leek Town 62%, draw 17%, AFC Emley 21%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Leek Town to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leek Town 1–0 AFC Emley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leek Town62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @3.70
AFC Emley21%fair 4.86 · @3.60
2.50Expected goals
1.70Leek Town xG
0.80AFC Emley xG
44%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Leek Town 1.7 – 0.8 AFC Emley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leek Town to win✗
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leek Town / FT Leek Town✗
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.18
–
Form
Leek Town – last 6
DDLDDW
15 Aug
@ Stockton Town
1–1
D
11 Aug
@ United of Manchester
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Whitby Town
1–2
L
31 Jul
vs Runcorn Linnets
1–1
D
14 Jul
vs Macclesfield
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Stocksbridge Park Steels
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
AFC Emley – last 5
WLDDL
14 Aug
vs Curzon Ashton
2–1
W
11 Aug
vs Ilkeston Town
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Hyde United
0–0
D
14 Jul
vs Rotherham
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Ossett United
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leek Town and AFC Emley.
What is the prediction for Leek Town vs AFC Emley?
Our pick is Leek Town to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Leek Town vs AFC Emley?
On our numbers Leek Town have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and AFC Emley 21%.
How many goals will there be in Leek Town vs AFC Emley?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leek Town vs AFC Emley?
Our predicted score is Leek Town 1–0 AFC Emley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Leek Town vs AFC Emley?
Leek Town vs AFC Emley (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
