Value bet: East Kilbride to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEast Kilbride to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.06
Stranraer vs East Kilbride preview and prediction
The match
The Challenge Cup sees Stranraer take on East Kilbride on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stair Park.
Form guide
Stranraer's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Berwick Rangers 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
East Kilbride's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Celtic II 3–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 1.7 for Stranraer and 2.7 for East Kilbride. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 77% and both teams to score at 72%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stranraer 22%, draw 17%, East Kilbride 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.30.
Value angle: East Kilbride to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Stranraer 1–2 East Kilbride. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stranraer22%fair 4.46 · @3.40
Draw17%fair 5.84 · @3.75
East Kilbride60%fair 1.65 · @1.80
4.39Expected goals
1.66Stranraer xG
2.73East Kilbride xG
72%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–16%
1–45%
From our goals model: Stranraer 1.7 – 2.7 East Kilbride expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
East Kilbride to win✗
60%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Half-time result
East Kilbride ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT East Kilbride / FT East Kilbride✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.06
–
Form
Stranraer – last 6
LWWWLW
22 Sep
@ Berwick Rangers
2–3
L
19 Sep
@ Elgin City
5–1
W
12 Sep
vs Dumbarton
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Forfar Athletic
3–0
W
1 Sep
vs Celtic II
3–4
L
29 Aug
vs Kelty Hearts
2–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
East Kilbride – last 6
DWWWLL
22 Sep
vs Celtic II
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ Alloa Athletic
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Peterhead
3–1
W
8 Sep
vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Hamilton Academical
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Ross County
0–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stranraer and East Kilbride.
What is the prediction for Stranraer vs East Kilbride?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Stranraer vs East Kilbride?
On our numbers Stranraer have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 17% and East Kilbride 60%.
How many goals will there be in Stranraer vs East Kilbride?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stranraer vs East Kilbride?
Our predicted score is Stranraer 1–2 East Kilbride, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Stranraer vs East Kilbride?
Stranraer vs East Kilbride (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stair Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.