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Challenge Cup · Scotland · New Dundas Park

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

LWWLL
3–0
FT

Motherwell U21

LLLL

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21 prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBonnyrigg Rose Athletic to win ✓67% · @1.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21 preview and prediction

The match

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic host Motherwell U21 in the Challenge Cup on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at New Dundas Park.

Form guide

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Airdrie United 1–6 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Motherwell U21's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to East Fife 1–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 3.8 conceded.

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.6 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and 1.4 for Motherwell U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2–1 Motherwell U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic67%fair 1.48 · @1.38
Draw11%fair 9.50 · @5.50
Motherwell U2122%fair 4.54 · @4.75
3.99Expected goals
2.61Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic xG
1.38Motherwell U21 xG
64%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%

From our goals model: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2.6 – 1.4 Motherwell U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBonnyrigg Rose Athletic to win ✓67%1.481.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89%1.121.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.131.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.351.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗53%1.881.83
Half-time resultBonnyrigg Rose Athletic ahead at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic / FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic ✓42%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.49–

Form

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic – last 6

LWWLLL
22 Sepvs Airdrie United1–6L
19 Sepvs Stirling University6–1W
16 Sep@ Gala Fairydean Rovers2–1W
12 Sep@ Civil Service Strollers0–2L
8 Sep@ East Kilbride1–3L
29 Augvs Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1–2L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Motherwell U21 – last 4

LLLL
15 Sep@ East Fife1–4L
8 Sep@ Annan Athletic0–4L
25 Aug@ Alloa Athletic0–3L
11 Aug@ Kelty Hearts3–4L
1.0Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and Motherwell U21.

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21 head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Airdrie United7 Berwick Rangers1 176%1.12X14%7.50210%15.00 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Alloa Athletic2 Gala Fairydean Rovers2 170%1.08X18%10.00212%15.00 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.28 ✓
FT Annan Athletic2 Hibernian U211 171%1.22X17%6.00212%8.00 1Annan Athletic to win 71%@1.22 ✓
FT Clachnacuddin3 Celtic II3 136%2.45X18%4.00247%2.20 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓
FT Cove Rangers2 Aberdeen U211 166%1.57X10%5.00223%3.50 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Cowdenbeath1 Clyde3 122%3.40X11%4.50267%1.67 2Clyde to win 67%@1.67 ✓
FT Dumbarton3 Banks O' Dee2 159%1.70X17%4.20224%3.60 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT East Fife0 Clydebank2 161%1.73X19%4.50221%3.20 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21?

On our numbers Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Motherwell U21 22%.

How many goals will there be in Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21?

Our predicted score is Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2–1 Motherwell U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Motherwell U21 (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New Dundas Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.