Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 61% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAirdrie United to win ✓76% · @1.12
Double chanceAirdrie United or draw ✓90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.92
Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers preview and prediction
The match
Airdrie United host Berwick Rangers in the Challenge Cup on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Albert Bartlett Stadium.
Form guide
Airdrie United's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 6–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Berwick Rangers's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Stranraer 3–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Airdrie United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.9 for Airdrie United and 1.0 for Berwick Rangers. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Airdrie United 76%, draw 14%, Berwick Rangers 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 61% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Airdrie United 2–1 Berwick Rangers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Airdrie United76%fair 1.31 · @1.12
Draw14%fair 7.18 · @7.50
Berwick Rangers10%fair 10.25 · @15.00
3.96Expected goals
2.94Airdrie United xG
1.01Berwick Rangers xG
61%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
2–08%
3–18%
3–08%
4–16%
4–06%
From our goals model: Airdrie United 2.9 – 1.0 Berwick Rangers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Airdrie United to win✓
76%
1.31
1.12
Double chance
Airdrie United or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Half-time result
Airdrie United ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Airdrie United / FT Airdrie United✓
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.92
–
Form
Airdrie United – last 6
WWWWLD
22 Sep
@ Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
6–1
W
19 Sep
@ Peterhead
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Alloa Athletic
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs St. Mirren U21
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Queen of the South
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs East Fife
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Berwick Rangers – last 6
WDLLWL
22 Sep
vs Stranraer
3–2
W
19 Sep
vs Musselburgh Athletic
0–0
D
15 Sep
@ Civil Service Strollers
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Tranent Juniors
1–2
L
8 Sep
vs Hibernian U21
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Broxburn Athletic
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Airdrie United and Berwick Rangers.
What is the prediction for Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers?
On our numbers Airdrie United have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Berwick Rangers 10%.
How many goals will there be in Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers?
Our predicted score is Airdrie United 2–1 Berwick Rangers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers?
Airdrie United vs Berwick Rangers (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Albert Bartlett Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.