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Challenge Cup · Scotland · ZLX Stadium

Hamilton Academical

WWWWW
3–0
FT

Kilmarnock II

LWDL

Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II prediction & analysis

71%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 57% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultHamilton Academical to win ✓74% · @1.12
Double chanceHamilton Academical or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.10
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.94

Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II preview and prediction

The match

The Challenge Cup sees Hamilton Academical take on Kilmarnock II on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at ZLX Stadium.

Form guide

Hamilton Academical's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Cowdenbeath 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Kilmarnock II's last 4: LWDL Most recently they lost to Dumbarton 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.

Hamilton Academical arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.7 for Hamilton Academical and 0.9 for Kilmarnock II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Hamilton Academical 3–0 Kilmarnock II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Hamilton Academical74%fair 1.36 · @1.12
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @8.00
Kilmarnock II7%fair 14.21 · @17.00
3.61Expected goals
2.73Hamilton Academical xG
0.88Kilmarnock II xG
57%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–010%
3–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–07%
1–16%

From our goals model: Hamilton Academical 2.7 – 0.9 Kilmarnock II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHamilton Academical to win ✓74%1.361.12
Double chanceHamilton Academical or draw ✓93%1.08–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.752.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓51%1.981.83
Half-time resultHamilton Academical ahead at half-time ✓57%1.76–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hamilton Academical / FT Hamilton Academical ✓53%1.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10%9.94–

Form

Hamilton Academical – last 6

WWWWWL
23 Sepvs Cowdenbeath1–0W
19 Sepvs Queen of the South4–1W
8 Sep@ Spartans4–0W
5 Sep@ East Kilbride1–0W
29 Augvs Cove Rangers1–0W
25 Augvs Edinburgh City0–1L
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kilmarnock II – last 4

LWDL
22 Sep@ Dumbarton2–3L
8 Sep@ Cowdenbeath2–1W
25 Aug@ Cumbernauld Colts1–1D
11 Aug@ East Kilbride3–5L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hamilton Academical and Kilmarnock II.

Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Airdrie United7 Berwick Rangers1 176%1.12X14%7.50210%15.00 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Alloa Athletic2 Gala Fairydean Rovers2 170%1.08X18%10.00212%15.00 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.28 ✓
FT Annan Athletic2 Hibernian U211 171%1.22X17%6.00212%8.00 1Annan Athletic to win 71%@1.22 ✓
FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic3 Motherwell U210 167%1.38X11%5.50222%4.75 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓
FT Clachnacuddin3 Celtic II3 136%2.45X18%4.00247%2.20 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓
FT Cove Rangers2 Aberdeen U211 166%1.57X10%5.00223%3.50 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Cowdenbeath1 Clyde3 122%3.40X11%4.50267%1.67 2Clyde to win 67%@1.67 ✓
FT Dumbarton3 Banks O' Dee2 159%1.70X17%4.20224%3.60 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II?

On our numbers Hamilton Academical have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kilmarnock II 7%.

How many goals will there be in Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II?

Our predicted score is Hamilton Academical 3–0 Kilmarnock II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II?

Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at ZLX Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.