Hearts U21 travel to New Central Park in the Challenge Cup on Tuesday 22 September (19:45 WAT) to face Kelty Hearts.
Form guide
Kelty Hearts's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Edinburgh City 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Hearts U21's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Gala Fairydean Rovers 6–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Hearts U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.8 goals: 4.0 for Kelty Hearts and 1.9 for Hearts U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 93% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Kelty Hearts 3–1 Hearts U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kelty Hearts70%fair 1.42 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.20
Hearts U219%fair 11.55 · @6.00
5.83Expected goals
3.98Kelty Hearts xG
1.85Hearts U21 xG
70%Both score
93%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–16%
4–16%
3–25%
4–25%
5–15%
2–14%
From our goals model: Kelty Hearts 4.0 – 1.9 Hearts U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kelty Hearts to win✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Double chance
Kelty Hearts or draw✗
91%
1.09
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Kelty Hearts ahead at half-time✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kelty Hearts / FT Kelty Hearts✗
54%
1.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
6%
17.52
–
Form
Kelty Hearts – last 6
LLWWLL
19 Sep
vs Edinburgh City
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Clyde
1–4
L
8 Sep
@ Cumbernauld Colts
3–0
W
5 Sep
vs Annan Athletic
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Stranraer
0–2
L
25 Aug
vs Clydebank
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hearts U21 – last 6
WLWWLL
8 Sep
@ Gala Fairydean Rovers
6–1
W
25 Aug
@ Spartans
0–5
L
11 Aug
@ Berwick Rangers
4–3
W
10 Apr
vs Albion Rovers
3–0
W
3 Apr
@ East Stirlingshire
2–4
L
20 Mar
vs Clydebank
0–8
L
2.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kelty Hearts and Hearts U21.
What is the prediction for Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21?
On our numbers Kelty Hearts have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hearts U21 9%.
How many goals will there be in Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21?
We expect about 5.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 93% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21?
Our predicted score is Kelty Hearts 3–1 Hearts U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.8 goals in total.
When is Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21?
Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21 (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at New Central Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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