Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21 preview and prediction
The match
The Challenge Cup sees Alloa Athletic take on Hibernian U21 on Tuesday 22 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Recreation Park.
Form guide
Alloa Athletic's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to East Kilbride 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Hibernian U21's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Berwick Rangers 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Alloa Athletic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Alloa Athletic and 0.5 for Hibernian U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Alloa Athletic to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Alloa Athletic 1–0 Hibernian U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alloa Athletic68%fair 1.47 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @5.00
Hibernian U2111%fair 8.73 · @10.00
2.33Expected goals
1.78Alloa Athletic xG
0.55Hibernian U21 xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
0–010%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 1.8 – 0.5 Hibernian U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alloa Athletic to win✓
68%
1.47
1.22
Double chance
Alloa Athletic or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Alloa Athletic ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alloa Athletic / FT Alloa Athletic✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.77
–
Form
Alloa Athletic – last 6
LLDDDW
19 Sep
vs East Kilbride
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Airdrie United
0–1
L
8 Sep
@ Clydebank
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Cove Rangers
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Peterhead
1–1
D
25 Aug
vs Motherwell U21
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hibernian U21 – last 4
LLLL
8 Sep
@ Berwick Rangers
0–1
L
25 Aug
@ Queen of the South
0–1
L
11 Aug
@ Clydebank
0–4
L
18 Jul
@ Gala Fairydean Rovers
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alloa Athletic and Hibernian U21.
What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21?
Our pick is Alloa Athletic to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21?
On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hibernian U21 11%.
How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21?
Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 1–0 Hibernian U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21?
Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21 (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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