Challenge Cup · Scotland · Shielfield Park
Berwick Rangers vs Stranraer prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Berwick Rangers 1.6 – 2.6 Stranraer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Stranraer shade it despite being away from home – 59% to win, against 21% for Berwick Rangers.
Berwick Rangers have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Stranraer have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 3.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Stranraer come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.2 goals (1.6 for Berwick Rangers, 2.6 for Stranraer). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (8%), 1–3 (7%), 2–2 (6%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.42.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Stranraer to win ✗ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.73 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Half-time result | Stranraer ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Stranraer / FT Stranraer ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.21 | – |
Form
Berwick Rangers – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Musselburgh Athletic | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | @ Civil Service Strollers | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Tranent Juniors | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Hibernian U21 | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Broxburn Athletic | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | @ Annan Athletic | 2–2 | D |
Stranraer – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Elgin City | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Dumbarton | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Forfar Athletic | 3–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Celtic II | 3–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Kelty Hearts | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Gala Fairydean Rovers | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Berwick Rangers and Stranraer.
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Dundee United II0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Berwick Rangers vs Stranraer?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Berwick Rangers vs Stranraer?
On our numbers Berwick Rangers have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stranraer 59%.
How many goals will there be in Berwick Rangers vs Stranraer?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
When is Berwick Rangers vs Stranraer?
Berwick Rangers vs Stranraer (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Shielfield Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.