Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultElgin City to win ✓72% · @1.20
Double chanceElgin City or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.22
Elgin City vs Dundee II preview and prediction
The match
Elgin City host Dundee II in the Challenge Cup on Tuesday 22 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Borough Briggs.
Form guide
Elgin City's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Stranraer 1–5 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dundee II's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Montrose 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Elgin City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 3.0 for Elgin City and 1.2 for Dundee II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 79% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elgin City 72%, draw 16%, Dundee II 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Elgin City 2–1 Dundee II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elgin City72%fair 1.39 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.07 · @5.80
Dundee II11%fair 8.70 · @10.00
4.17Expected goals
2.96Elgin City xG
1.21Dundee II xG
65%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
4–16%
1–16%
From our goals model: Elgin City 3.0 – 1.2 Dundee II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elgin City to win✓
72%
1.39
1.20
Double chance
Elgin City or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Elgin City ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elgin City / FT Elgin City✓
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.22
–
Form
Elgin City – last 6
LLWLWW
19 Sep
vs Stranraer
1–5
L
12 Sep
@ Annan Athletic
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Fraserburgh
7–0
W
5 Sep
@ Dumbarton
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Stirling Albion
4–0
W
25 Aug
@ Clachnacuddin
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dundee II – last 4
LLLL
8 Sep
@ Montrose
2–3
L
25 Aug
@ Peterhead
1–2
L
11 Aug
@ Formartine United
1–4
L
2 Jul
vs Peterhead
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elgin City and Dundee II.
What is the prediction for Elgin City vs Dundee II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Elgin City vs Dundee II?
On our numbers Elgin City have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Dundee II 11%.
How many goals will there be in Elgin City vs Dundee II?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elgin City vs Dundee II?
Our predicted score is Elgin City 2–1 Dundee II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Elgin City vs Dundee II?
Elgin City vs Dundee II (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Borough Briggs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.