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Today's tips
Serie D · Brazil

Nacional AM

LWDWW
1–1
FT

Iguatu

WWDWW

Nacional AM vs Iguatu prediction & analysis

81%
Footrivo pick

Nacional AM or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Nacional AM to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultNacional AM to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceNacional AM or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.11

Nacional AM vs Iguatu preview and prediction

The match

Iguatu travel to face Nacional AM in the Serie D on Saturday 18 July (20:00 WAT).

Form guide

Nacional AM's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Capital Brasilia 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Iguatu's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Maguary PE 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Iguatu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Nacional AM and 0.7 for Iguatu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 50%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Nacional AM or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Nacional AM 1–0 Iguatu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Nacional AM56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @2.75
Iguatu19%fair 5.40 · @3.90
2.21Expected goals
1.49Nacional AM xG
0.72Iguatu xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Nacional AM 1.5 – 0.7 Iguatu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNacional AM to win ✗56%1.781.95 ▲
Double chanceNacional AM or draw ✓81%1.231.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.982.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nacional AM / FT Nacional AM ✗34%2.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.11–

Form

Nacional AM – last 6

LWDWWD
12 Jul@ Capital Brasilia0–1L
4 Julvs Capital Brasilia1–0W
28 Junvs Araguaína0–0D
21 Jun@ Araguaína1–0W
14 Junvs Monte Roraima3–1W
31 May@ Manaus FC1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Iguatu – last 6

WWDWWD
12 Julvs Maguary PE2–1W
4 Jul@ Maguary PE3–2W
27 Junvs Tuna Luso1–1D
21 Jun@ Tuna Luso2–1W
7 Jun@ Sampaio Correa1–0W
30 Mayvs Parnahyba2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nacional AM and Iguatu.

Nacional AM vs Iguatu head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Cianorte0 ASA1 143%2.15X25%2.62231%3.40 GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.20 ✗
FT Sao Jose2 Treze1 145%2.10X25%2.62230%3.60 NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.53 ✗
FT Uberlandia2 Portuguesa0 132%2.90X25%2.60243%2.45 GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.00 ✗
FT Goiatuba EC3 Ferroviario0 143%2.10X25%2.70232%3.50 NGNot both teams to score 52%@1.62 ✓
FT Luverdense0 ABC0 143%2.50X24%2.70233%2.70 GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.05 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nacional AM vs Iguatu?

Our pick is Nacional AM or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Nacional AM vs Iguatu?

On our numbers Nacional AM have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Iguatu 19%.

How many goals will there be in Nacional AM vs Iguatu?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nacional AM vs Iguatu?

Our predicted score is Nacional AM 1–0 Iguatu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Nacional AM vs Iguatu?

Nacional AM vs Iguatu (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.