Value bet: Ferroviario to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGoiatuba EC to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.81
Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees Goiatuba EC take on Ferroviario on Saturday 18 July, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Goiatuba EC's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Manauara 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ferroviario's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Imperatriz 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Goiatuba EC and 0.9 for Ferroviario. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Ferroviario to win at 3.50 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Goiatuba EC 1–0 Ferroviario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Goiatuba EC43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.70
Ferroviario32%fair 3.13 · @3.50
2.04Expected goals
1.13Goiatuba EC xG
0.91Ferroviario xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Goiatuba EC 1.1 – 0.9 Ferroviario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Goiatuba EC to win✓
43%
2.31
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Goiatuba EC / FT Goiatuba EC✓
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.81
–
Form
Goiatuba EC – last 6
WLWDWD
12 Jul
@ Manauara
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Manauara
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Brasiliense
1–0
W
21 Jun
@ Brasiliense
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs CEOV Operário
1–0
W
30 May
@ Ceilândia
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ferroviario – last 6
WDWDWD
12 Jul
vs Imperatriz
3–0
W
4 Jul
@ Imperatriz
1–1
D
28 Jun
vs Central SC
2–0
W
21 Jun
@ Central SC
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Fluminense PI
1–0
W
1 Jun
@ TirolCEFAT
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Goiatuba EC and Ferroviario.
What is the prediction for Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario?
On our numbers Goiatuba EC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ferroviario 32%.
How many goals will there be in Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario?
Our predicted score is Goiatuba EC 1–0 Ferroviario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario?
Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Cianorte0
ASA1
Sao Jose2
Treze1
Nacional AM1
Iguatu1
Uberlandia2
Portuguesa0
Luverdense0
ABC0