Serie D · Brazil · Passo das Emas
Luverdense vs ABC prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Luverdense to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Luverdense 1.1 – 0.9 ABC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Luverdense hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 33% for ABC.
Luverdense have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 per game. ABC have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.1 for Luverdense, 0.9 for ABC). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.05 is better than our fair price of 1.91, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Luverdense to win at 2.50 is our value angle (43% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Luverdense to win ✗ | 43% | 2.32 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.40 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 2.05 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.65 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.03 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Luverdense / FT Luverdense ✗ | 23% | 4.43 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.87 | – |
Form
Luverdense – last 6
| 12 Jul | @ Guaporé | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Jul | vs Guaporé | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | vs Ceilândia | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jun | @ Ceilândia | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Jun | vs Inhumas | 4–0 | W |
| 31 May | @ Brasiliense | 1–1 | D |
ABC – last 6
| 12 Jul | vs Águia de Marabá | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Jul | @ Águia de Marabá | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Jun | vs Altos | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jun | @ Altos | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jun | vs Maguary PE | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | @ Laguna | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luverdense and ABC.
More Serie D predictions
Cianorte0
ASA1
Sao Jose2
Treze1
Nacional AM1
Iguatu1
Uberlandia2
Portuguesa0
Goiatuba EC3
Ferroviario0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Luverdense vs ABC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Luverdense vs ABC?
On our numbers Luverdense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and ABC 33%.
How many goals will there be in Luverdense vs ABC?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Luverdense vs ABC?
Luverdense vs ABC (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Passo das Emas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.