EFL Trophy · England · Abbey Stadium
Cambridge United vs Northampton prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cambridge United 2.5 – 1.5 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cambridge United hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 21% for Northampton.
Cambridge United have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Northampton have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. Cambridge United come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.0 goals (2.5 for Cambridge United, 1.5 for Northampton). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (7%), 1–1 (7%).
In their last 1 meeting, Cambridge United have won 0, Northampton have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cambridge United to win ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.75 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.62 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Half-time result | Cambridge United ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cambridge United / FT Cambridge United ✓ | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 9% | 11.63 | – |
Form
Cambridge United – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs AFC Wimbledon | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | @ Gillingham | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Oxford United | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Reading | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Burton Albion | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Sep | @ Bradford | 2–1 | W |
Northampton – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Rotherham | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Shrewsbury | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Newport County | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Crawley Town | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Gillingham | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Crewe | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 28 Jul 2026 | Cambridge United v Northampton | 0–0 |
EFL Trophy table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Northampton | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Walsall | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Shrewsbury | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Chelsea U21 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
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Barnsley1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cambridge United vs Northampton?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Cambridge United vs Northampton?
On our numbers Cambridge United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Northampton 21%.
How many goals will there be in Cambridge United vs Northampton?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
When is Cambridge United vs Northampton?
Cambridge United vs Northampton (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Abbey Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.