Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarnet to win ✓62% · @1.52
Double chanceBarnet or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Barnet vs Arsenal U21 preview and prediction
The match
The EFL Trophy sees Barnet take on Arsenal U21 on Tuesday 18 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at The Hive Stadium. Barnet are 3rd with 5 points from 3 games, while Arsenal U21 sit 4th on 3 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Barnet's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Salford City 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Arsenal U21's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Crystal Palace U21 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Barnet and 1.1 for Arsenal U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barnet 62%, draw 21%, Arsenal U21 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Barnet 2–1 Arsenal U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barnet62%fair 1.61 · @1.52
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.50
Arsenal U2117%fair 6.06 · @4.85
3.40Expected goals
2.27Barnet xG
1.12Arsenal U21 xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Barnet 2.3 – 1.1 Arsenal U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnet to win✓
62%
1.61
1.52
Double chance
Barnet or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Half-time result
Barnet ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barnet / FT Barnet✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Form
Barnet – last 6
WLDDLD
15 Aug
vs Salford City
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Cambridge United
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Bromley
1–1
D
28 Jul
vs Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Oxford United
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Luton
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arsenal U21 – last 6
LLLDLW
13 Apr
@ Crystal Palace U21
0–2
L
23 Mar
@ Sunderland U21
1–3
L
13 Mar
vs Leicester City U21
1–5
L
6 Mar
@ Norwich City U21
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Ipswich Town U21
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Reading U21
4–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barnet and Arsenal U21.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Barnet vs Arsenal U21?
On our numbers Barnet have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arsenal U21 17%.
How many goals will there be in Barnet vs Arsenal U21?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barnet vs Arsenal U21?
Our predicted score is Barnet 2–1 Arsenal U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Barnet vs Arsenal U21?
Barnet vs Arsenal U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Hive Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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